XRP Price Outlook: Potential Jump in XRP Value Following Tariff Repeal
February 21, 2026
XRP is currently trading close to $1.43, reflecting a 2.30% increase, following a prolonged period of pressure within the digital asset market. Since the beginning of 2026, the token has encountered challenges amidst heightened selling pressure throughout the broader market. Simultaneously, the US Supreme Court has invalidated most of the global tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump. This significant ruling has the potential to impact consumer inflation and market liquidity, potentially swaying investor sentiments regarding risk assets like XRP and Bitcoin.
The court’s decision found that Trump had overstepped his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, resulting in a 6–3 majority verdict. This ruling has triggered discussions about future tariff policies and the government’s capacity to uphold levies worth billions of dollars. Numerous companies are now anticipating whether refunds will be issued. This ruling coincides with XRP trading within a narrow range as volatility decreases.
XRP has plummeted by 61% from its peak of $3.66, registering four consecutive monthly declines with a possibility for another one looming. Despite this downtrend, market data indicates a slowdown in selling pressure. Historical volatility has dwindled to 96, a level last observed in June 2024, which a market commentator named Austin highlighted as a significant compression phase. Notably, XRP is forming a pattern reminiscent of that witnessed in 2024, albeit with higher lows. This trend suggests accumulating pressure that could trigger an expansion for XRP’s price, potentially leading to a retest of the $3.3 region if momentum grows.
Analysis of on-chain metrics also proposes a possible turnaround in the offing. The Market Value to Realized Value ratio currently stands below 1.0, typically indicating undervaluation in the market. Instances of similar readings in the past have heralded market turning points, as illustrated by green bars on the MVRV model. Historical trends show that prolonged periods below the 1.0 threshold often precede a market shift. Furthermore, stability in addresses holding a minimum of 10,000 XRP suggests an uptick in mid-tier confidence, potentially boosting market sentiment.
In light of the Supreme Court’s recent tariff decision, it is evident that the ruling will have implications for market liquidity. The ruling specifically impacts levies imposed on goods from key trade partners such as Canada, China, and Mexico. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer viewed the decision as a win for American consumers’ wallets, cautioning against the detrimental impact tariffs had on families. Notably, the Supreme Court emphasized that only Congress holds the authority to levy taxes, including tariffs, raising concerns about the refund process for the collected levies. More than 1,000 companies have commenced legal action seeking reimbursement, highlighting potential operational challenges brought about by the refund process. The outcome of how the administration will address these concerns remains to be seen.
