Experts caution investors about Bitcoin’s plummeting value today, predicting a bleak outlook for 2026; ‘We will not see…’

bitcoin

February 2, 2026

Bitcoin experienced a significant drop in value today, dipping below $75,000, following a downward trend from the previous session. This latest decline occurred after the price fell to a low of $81,104 on Friday, which was the lowest point since November 21. This drop was triggered by a rise in the US dollar and President Donald Trump’s announcement of Kevin Warsh as his nominee for the next Fed Chair. The ongoing decline in Bitcoin’s value has left investors feeling uneasy, with experts offering little reassurance.

The reason behind Bitcoin’s falling value and what lies ahead is a topic of concern for many. Unlike previous sharp declines, the current downward trend is not linked to any significant macro events or large-scale forced liquidations. Bitcoin witnessed an 11% decrease in value in January, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline – the longest stretch of losses since 2017. Paul Howard, the director at market maker Wincent, expressed doubts about the prospects for cryptocurrency in 2026, especially concerning Bitcoin. Howard stated, “I don’t think we’ll see a new all-time high for Bitcoin in 2026.” Looking back at historical data, it took Bitcoin 28 months to reach its previous highs after the 2021 peak and nearly three years to recover from the crash in 2017.

According to Laurens Fraussen, an analyst at Kaiko, the contraction in crypto exchange volumes has been significant. He mentioned that during the peak of 2017 and throughout the winter of 2018-2019, there was a 60% to 70% decline in volume across spot exchanges. However, the drawdown from 2021 to 2023 saw a more moderate 30% to 40% contraction. Fraussen also shared his perspective on the current cycle, stating that we are likely only 25% through it. Typically, the worst drawdown occurs around the 50% mark.

Richard Hodges, the founder of Ferro BTC Volatility Fund, advised investors to be patient during this period of decline. He disclosed, “I speak with a lot of Bitcoin whales and I have told them categorically that they’re not going to see another all-time high for 1,000 days.” Hodges emphasized that Bitcoin is no longer in the spotlight as it was three years ago, with other investments like AI stocks on the rise. He pointed out the surge in gold prices followed by a spike in silver as examples of shifting market trends.

It is important to note that the insights and comments presented here are focused on the movements in Bitcoin’s price and are intended for informational purposes only. This content should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Due to the highly volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets, any decisions made regarding digital assets are at your own risk. It is advisable to conduct thorough research or seek advice from a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.