XRP aims for $1.50 breakout as exchange supply decreases
May 25, 2026
XRP is currently trading near $1.34, and the dwindling supply due to significant inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is catching the attention of traders who are closely monitoring the crucial $1.50 threshold.
Since their inception in November 2025, spot XRP ETFs have attracted a total of $1.39 billion in net inflows, as reported by SoSoValue data. The month of May has surpassed April in terms of inflows, with no outflow days recorded, establishing it as the most robust period for inflows in 2026.
The continuous influx of investments has resulted in tokens being withdrawn from centralized exchanges, causing exchange reserves to decrease to approximately 2.70 billion XRP. On-chain data reveals that the number of wallets holding a minimum of 10,000 tokens has surged to an all-time high of over 332,000.
Despite the favorable conditions on paper, the price of XRP has remained relatively stagnant. A vast amount of approximately 1.16 billion XRP is concentrated near the $1.45 mark, where holders tend to offload their holdings during any price rally, hindering any significant upward movement.
Analysts are closely observing the resistance level at $1.50 and have outlined a potential trajectory for XRP’s price movement. The initial step involves buyers reclaiming the 50-day exponential moving average at $1.41, followed by surpassing $1.43 before targeting $1.48 and eventually the psychological level of $1.50.
Key momentum indicators currently show signs of neutrality, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around the low 40s and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line staying below zero. These signals suggest that buyers are gradually making progress in the market.
However, the anticipation of regulatory clarity continues to stall the influx of substantial institutional capital into XRP. The recently approved CLARITY Act by the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 is now pending 60 floor votes, House reconciliation, and a presidential signature before becoming law.
Despite positive regulatory developments, XRP has faced challenges throughout the year, witnessing a 44% decline in the past 12 months. From its peak of around $2.40 in May 2025, the token has experienced a downward trend, enduring losses in six consecutive months between October 2025 and March 2026.
Despite multiple attempts to breach the $1.50 mark in March, April, and May, the price failed to sustain above this level, with a brief spike to $1.52 on May 14 quickly reversing as profit-taking activities ensued.
As the XRP market continues to navigate through regulatory uncertainties and price resistances, traders and investors remain vigilant and observant of key developments that could potentially unlock new growth opportunities for the digital asset.
