Bitcoin’s price in 2026: Will it drop to $50k or rise to $125k?
January 2, 2026
Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2026 is a topic of much speculation and debate among analysts and experts in the cryptocurrency market. With a turbulent end to 2025 behind it, the question of whether the value of bitcoin will plummet back down to $50,000 or surge to new heights above $125,000 is on the minds of many investors.
Fabian Dori, the chief investment officer at Sygnum Bank, is optimistic about the potential for bitcoin in the first quarter of 2026. He believes that improving macroeconomic conditions and a stabilization in sentiment across crypto markets could provide a favorable environment for the digital currency. Dori points to an uptick in purchasing managers’ indices and easing liquidity conditions as indicators of potential growth. Additionally, progress on US regulatory clarity, such as the Clarity Act, could further boost confidence in the market.
On the other hand, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone has warned of a possible pullback in bitcoin’s price, suggesting a return to $50,000 due to broader macroeconomic trends. Bitfinex analysts also predict a period of consolidation in the market during the first quarter of 2026 as investors reevaluate their portfolios.
Looking ahead to the second quarter, both Sygnum and Bitfinex see opportunities for growth if macro conditions remain supportive. Changes in leadership at the Federal Reserve and regulatory adjustments could play a role in influencing investor sentiment towards bitcoin. However, not all analysts are optimistic, with concerns about potential political influences on monetary policy and the impact of rising long-term interest rates on bitcoin’s price.
The third quarter of 2026 is anticipated to bring about increased volatility, particularly surrounding the US mid-term elections. Uncertainty in the political landscape could lead to unpredictable price movements for bitcoin, adding another layer of risk for investors to consider.
Overall, the outlook for bitcoin’s price in 2026 remains uncertain, with a range of factors from macroeconomic conditions to regulatory developments shaping its trajectory. While some analysts predict a period of consolidation and potential upside in the market, others caution against potential risks and volatility in the coming months. Investors will need to closely monitor these factors and stay informed to make well-informed decisions in the ever-changing landscape of the cryptocurrency market.
