XRP Price Forecast: XRP-USD Maintains $1.88 Support with $5.00 Potential Upside
XRP, one of the leading cryptocurrencies, is currently trading between the narrow range of $1.77 and $1.98. Several key triggers could determine the next significant move for XRP-USD in the near future.
The positive outlook for XRP-USD includes the potential impact of sustained or increasing ETF inflows in the range of $300-$400 million per month throughout 2026. These inflows, coupled with broader distribution, could lead to a gradual increase in price, moving towards the $4-$6 range, assuming favorable macroeconomic conditions. Additionally, if ODL volumes surpass the current $95 billion mark and the Archax tokenization pipeline achieves or exceeds the $1 billion XRPL target, there could be a tightening of the relationship between infrastructure and XRP token, leading to increased demand for settlement and collateral. Furthermore, a Ripple IPO in 2026 could bring more transparency and clarity to the relationship between equity and token, potentially attracting long-term institutional investments.
Conversely, a significant daily close below $1.77 could indicate a lack of support from ETFs and large holders, potentially causing a downturn in XRP-USD towards the $1.50-$1.60 range. A slowdown or reversal in net ETF flows post the $1.25 billion milestone might weaken the supply-shock theory, making XRP more susceptible to market-wide risk-off sentiment. Moreover, if adoption continues to rely on Ripple’s technology while bypassing the use of XRP, it could limit the demand for the token. Additionally, any massive sell-offs by large holders like Evernorth could temporarily overpower ETF bids and lead to a steep decline in XRP-USD price.
Currently trading at around $1.88, XRP-USD is considered a high-risk investment due to its volatile nature. Despite being down around 13% for 2025 and more than 45% from its summer peak, several factors support a more positive outlook for the cryptocurrency. With over $1.25 billion in ETF assets, $95 billion in processed payments, and multiple institutional partnerships, the market continues to undervalue XRP. The risk-reward ratio seems asymmetric, with a potential 30-40% drop in case of a break below $1.77, while an optimistic scenario could see XRP-USD reaching the $4-$5 range.
Investors are advised to monitor key price levels such as $1.77, $1.98, $2.12, and $2.23 to make informed decisions. If ETF inflows remain strong, and adoption of ODL and tokenization continues to expand, breaking above $1.98 with momentum could signal a significant upward trend. The current price consolidation phase might be viewed as an opportunity to accumulate positions before a potential repricing of XRP to reflect its underlying infrastructure.
